Is the Economy Headed for a Fall?

On February 5, 2018, venture capitalist and entrepreneur Shervin Pishevar went on a Twitter rampage that spanned 21 hours and 50 tweets. This sudden appearance was not just surprising for its randomness – Pishevar had been largely absent from public life since stepping down from Investment company two months previously – but for what he had to say about the state and future of the economy.

Buckle-Up, It’s Going to Be a Bumpy Ride

According to Shervin Pishevar, the strong stock market and sudden rise of Bitcoin are headed for a fall. He doesn’t predict that the crash of the stock market will be sudden. He’s talking about an aggregate, overall decrease of about 6,000 by the end of the year. The crash of Bitcoin will be more sudden and dramatic, but it will be able to make a comeback.

Several of these prophecies have already come to pass, and some seem to be looming on the horizon even to those who are unfamiliar with the markets and economics. Most notable among those predictions is the fall of Facebook. which recently had the highest one day drop in value of any corporation in the history of the stock market.

Shervin Pishevar bases these predictions on several factors that have been creeping up for a while and will converge around the same time. One is the overvaluation of stocks and bonds, the other is the artificial inflation of Bitcopin’s value. When investors realize this, the sell-off will lead to problems. Pishevar believes that the electronic currency will drop between $2,000 – $5,000 in value, but slowly regain much of it over a 24-month period. He is less optimistic about a recovery for the stock market, which has been Bullish to an unprecedented level for a record run.

Whether you have faith in Shervin Pishevar’s predictions, there’s no denying that he has been an influential and prescient voice in economics and investment for some time. His past record and foresight speak for themselves. Given the unsustainable trajectory of the markets these days, maybe we should listen.

 

https://www.brainyquote.com/authors/shervin_pishevar